Analisis Kurs, Inflasi dan Konsumsi Beras Perkapita Terhadap Impor Beras Di Indonesia

Abstract

This study analyzed the relationship between exchange rates, inflation, and
rice consumption per capita on rice imports in Indonesia. The data used in
this study are secondary data during the 2007-2018 period and by 6 main
rice exporting countries. The analysis tool used was the panel data analysis
method (a combination of cross-section and time-series) with the Ordinary
Least Square (OLS) approach. The results indicated that the relationship
between exchange rate and inflation did not affect the level of rice imports in
Indonesia because the exchange rate and inflation cannot influence
consumption and import needs in Indonesia. Meanwhile, per capita rice
consumption also did not have a significant effect on rice imports in
Indonesia because there has been a change in consumption patterns at the
head of household level in Indonesia so that the level of rice consumption
continues to decline each year.