Analisis Permintaan Uang dan Penawaran Uang serta Implikasinya Terhadap Kebijakan Moneter
Abstract
Bank Indonesia sets the main objectives of monetary policy to achieve stability in the value of the rupiah, maintain payment system stability, and maintain financial system stability, in order to support economic growth. The aim of this research is to analyze the influence of GDP on the demand for money, the influence of the BI-Rate on both the demand for money and the supply of money, as well as the influence of inflation, the exchange rate and the statutory reserve requirement (GWM) on the supply of money, and the implications for monetary policy. Research period 2010-2023. The data analysis method is the Two Stage Least Square (2SLS) simultaneous equation model. The results obtained are that GDP has a significant positive effect on the demand for money, BI-Rate has a significant negative effect on both the demand for money and the supply of money, inflation has a significant negative effect on the supply of money, and the exchange rate and GWM are proven to have a significant positive effect on the supply of money.
References
Agustin, D. P. (2021). Analisis pengaruh tingkat kurs dan suku bunga Bank Indonesia dengan jumlah uang beredar, terhadap tingkat inflasi di Indonesia. Develop: Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 2(1), 33–46. https://doi.org/10.53990/djep.v2i1.105.
Amoah, C., & Jehu-Appiah, J. (2022). Factors driving industrialization in Africa: A panel two-stage least square approach. Modern Economy, 13(2), 144-158. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/me.2022.132010.
Arwin, A., Muhammad, S., & Masbar, R. (2019). Analisis permintaan dan penawaran uang di Indonesia. Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam, 5(1), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.24815/jped.v5i1.14564.
Aviva, I. N. (2017). Pengaruh jumlah uang beredar (JUB), sertifikat bank indonesia syariah (SBIS), dan Jakarta Islamic index (JII) terhadap nilai aktiva bersih (NAB) reksadana syariah periode 2011-2015. Thesis. STIE Indonesia Banking School. http://lib.ibs.ac.id/index.php?p=show_detail&id=3430&keywords=iza+nur+aviva.
Bank Indonesia (BI). (2023). Fungsi utama moneter inflasi. https://www.bi.go.id/id/fungsi-utama/moneter/inflasi/default.aspx.
Barbosa, K., Fetter, S., & Rocha, B. de P. (2019). An empirical procedure to evaluate monetary management under exogenous changes in the money supply. Applied Economics, 51(12), 1248–1267. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527443.
BPS. (2022). Badan Pusat Statistik. https://aceh.bps.go.id/subject/23/kemiskinan.html#subjekViewTab3.
Czudaj, R. L. (2023). Are the forecasts of professionals compatible with the Taylor Rule? Evidence from the Euro Area. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 27(3), 698-717. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1365100521000614.
Fitrawaty, F. (2018). Keterkaitan instrumen kebijakan moneter dengan tingkat pengangguran. Economics Development Analysis Journal, 7(4), 421–431. https://doi.org/10.15294/edaj.v7i4.25101.
Ghozali, I., & Ratmono, D. (2019). Analisis multivariant dan ekonometrika: Teori, konsep dan aplikasi dengan EViews 10. UNDIP Press.
Gujarati, D. N. (2011). Dasar dasar ekonometrika (Buku 1). Salemba Empat.
Bordo, M. D., & Jonung, L. (2018). Demand for money: An analysis of the long-run behavior of the velocity of circulation. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203793589.
Pigou, A. C. (1936). Mr. J. M. Keynes’ General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Economica, 3(10), 115–132. https://doi.org/10.2307/2549064.
Khoirudin, R., & Ardini, D. (2023). Analysis of the determinats of inflation in Indonesia. Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal, 4(5), 7370–7377. http://journal.yrpipku.com/index.php/msej.
Le, V. P. M., Matthews, K., Meenagh, D., Minford, P., & Xiao, Z. (2021). Shadow banks, banking policies and China’s macroeconomic fluctuations. Journal of International Money & Finance, 116, 102415. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2021.102415.
Levrero, E. S. (2021). Estimates of the natural rate of interest and the stance of monetary policies: A critical assessment. International Journal of Political Economy, 50(1), 5–27. https://doi.org/10.1080/08911916.2021.1894829.
Mankiw G. (2016). Macroeconomics. Worth Publishers.
Manurung, M., & Rahardja, P. (2004). Uang, perbankan, dan ekonomi moneter (Kajian konstekstual Indonesia). Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia. https://lib.ui.ac.id/detail.jsp?id=120330.
Maria, J. A., Sedana, I. B. P., & Artini, L. G. S. (2017). Pengaruh tingkat suku bunga, inflasi dan pertumbuhan gross domestic product terhadap jumlah uang beredar di Timor-Leste. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Universitas Udayana, 10(1), 3477-3514. https://doi.org/10.24843/eeb.2017.v06.i10.p02.
Mishkin, F. (2018). Economics of Money, Banking and Financial Markets (12th ed.). Pearson Education.
Nugroho, P. W., & Basuki, M. U. (2012). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi inflasi di Indonesia periode 2000.1-2011.4. Diponegoro Journal of Economics, 1(1), 288-297. https://doi.org/10.14710/djoe.640.
Pandey, Y. (2020). Determinants of economic growth a cross country analysis with special reference to India. 4(1), 49–80. https://doi.org/10.47509/IJABER.2023.v04i01.04.
Pasaribu, A. A. (2024). Analisis inflation targeting framework (ITF) dan Perubahan respon kebijakan moneter. Thesis, Universitas Sumatera Utara. https://repositori.usu.ac.id/handle/123456789/98709.
Penikas, H. (2023). Money multiplier under Basel capital ratio regulation: Implications for counter-COVID-19 stimulus. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 13(1), 431–449. https://doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2021.1945348.
Pradhana, A. W. (2016). Pengaruh giro wajib minimum terhadap tingkat penyaluran kredit di Indonesia pada tahun 2012-2016 (Studi kasus: Bank Persero). Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB, 4(2), 2. https://jimfeb.ub.ac.id/index.php/jimfeb/article/view/3125.
Pratomo, W.A., & Hidayat, P. (2007). Pedoman praktis penggunaan Eviews dalam ekonometrika. Medan Usu Press.
Sukirno, S. (2015). Makroekonomi Teori Pengantar. Rajawali Pers.
Septiani, R., Wulandari, D., Narmaditya, B., & Prayitno, P. (2021). Nexus Between monetary instruments and bank credit distribution: Evidence from ASEAN countries. Indonesian Economic Review, 2(3), 1–7. https://doi.org/10.53787/iconev.v2i1.1.
Shu, X., Song, J., Lei, Q., & Li, Y. (2024). Nonlinear cointegration analysis of China’s money demand function stability. Journal of Industrial and Production Engineering, 41(2), 140–157. https://doi.org/10.1080/21681015.2023.2270990.
Sowell, T. (2011). Basic economics: A common sense guide to the economy. Basic Books. https://www.google.co.id/books/edition/Basic_Economics/6pNVStJrYFYC?hl=en&gbpv=0.
Tanjung, A. A., Ruslan, D., Lubis, I., & Pratama, I. (2022). Stock market responses to Covid-19 pandemic and monetary policy in Indonesia: Pre and post vaccine. Cuadernos de Economía, 45(127), 120–129. https://doi.org/1001-8185-7484.
Taylor, J. B. (2019). Inflation targeting in high inflation emerging economies: Lessons about rules and instruments. Journal of Applied Economics, 22(1), 102-115. https://doi.org/10.1080/15140326.2019.1565396.
Trinugroho, I., & Ariefianto, M. D. (2020). Statistik dan ekonometrika terapan: Aplikasi dengan STATA. Erlangga.
Umaru, H., & Yusuf, M.-B. O. (2018). The determinants of money cdemand function in ASEAN-5 countries. Global Journal of Management and Business Research: B Economics and Commerce, 18(5), 1–9. https://journalofbusiness.org/index.php/GJMBR/article/view/2554/.
Warjiyo, P., & Juhro, S. M. (2019). Central Bank policy mix: Issues, challenges, and policy responses. BI Institute. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-6827-2_4.
Yudanto, D., Rochaida, E., & Priyagus. (2020). Pengaruh pendapatan perkapita dan inflasi serta suku bunga terhadap konsumsi rumah tangga makanan dan non makanan serta pengaruhnya terhadap kesejahteraan masyarakat. Kinerja, 17(2), 2020–2287. https://repository.unmul.ac.id/bitstream/handle/123456789/38586/Pengaruh%20pendapatan%20perkapita%20dan%20inflasi%20serta%20suku%20bunga%20terhadap%20konsumsi.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y.
Zhang, Y., & Hamori, S. (2020). The predictability of the exchange rate when combining machine learning and fundamental models. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(3), 48. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13030048.
Copyright (c) 2025 Sutejo Perangin Angin, Dede Ruslan, Wahyu Ario Pratomo

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.













