Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Inflasi di Negara ASEAN

  • Nurul Hidayah Rambe Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Sumatera Utara
  • Wahyu Ario Pratomo Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Sumatera Utara
  • Syech Suhaimi Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Sumatera Utara
Keywords: ASEAN, Inflation, M2, Oil Subsidy, Unemployment Rate

Abstract

The research uses a quantitative approach with the Vector Error Correction Model as a data analysis method. The short-term and long-term results of this study show that changes in the exchange rate throughout the previous period have a positive but insignificant effect on inflation. Inflation is significantly affected by changes in the unemployment rate from the previous period, which has a positive short-term effect. However, the long-term estimation results show that adjustments to the unemployment rate from the previous era have a negative but insignificant effect on inflation. In the previous era, changes in the money supply level have no effect on inflation but have a negative short-term effect. Changes in oil subsidies during the previous era have a negative short-term effect and significantly affect inflation.

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Published
2025-02-23
How to Cite
Rambe, N. H., Pratomo, W. A., & Suhaimi, S. (2025). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Inflasi di Negara ASEAN. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 16(2), 274-284. https://doi.org/10.33059/jseb.v16i2.10913
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Articles